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Weekly Stock Market Commentary 3/4/2022

By Lawrence G. McMillan

The chart of $SPX is bearish, with lower highs and lower lows. That is the most important thing to take away from Figure 1. After spiking sharply lower a week ago, $SPX has engineered another oversold rally. In a bear market, those are often swift but usually die out at or just above the declining 20-day Moving Average. It would take a clear breakout over the resistance at 4600 in order to re-establish a bullish trend for the $SPX chart.

Larry McMillan Stock Market Update Video 2/28/2022

By Lawrence G. McMillan

Join Larry McMillan as he discusses the current state of the stock market on February 28, 2022.

Weekly Stock Market Commentary 2/25/2022

By Lawrence G. McMillan

The media seems to think that everything that is wrong with the market and the economy is due to the military conflict, but that is not the case. $SPX is in a bear market and will continue to be as long as the downtrend exists (see the blue line in Figure 1). However, the action on February 24th exacerbated an already oversold condition, and now another oversold rally seems to be taking place.

Larry McMillan Stock Market Update Video 2/22/2022

By Lawrence G. McMillan

Join Larry McMillan as he discusses the current state of the stock market on February 22, 2022.

Larry McMillan Stock Market Update Video 2/14/2022

By Lawrence G. McMillan

Join Larry McMillan as he discusses the current state of the stock market on February 14, 2022.

Larry McMillan Stock Market Update Video 2/7/2022

By Lawrence G. McMillan

Join Larry McMillan as he discusses the current state of the stock market on February 7, 2022.

Larry McMillan Stock Market Update Video 1/31/2022

By Lawrence G. McMillan

Join Larry McMillan as he discusses the current state of the stock market on January 31, 2022.

Weekly Stock Market Commentary 1/28/2022

By Lawrence G. McMillan

$SPX continues to be the best relative performer of the major indices. $NDX (QQQ) has already broken its lows of last September. Meanwhile, the Dow ($DJX) probed the lows of last spring. By far the worst performer, though, is the Russell 2000 ($RUT; IWM), which has essentially wiped out all of the gains of 2021. That is illustrative of what the "average" stock has been doing. I still don't think the media really gets that.

$SPX has support in the 4200-4300 area.

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