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Weekly Stock Market Commentary 4/16/2021

By Lawrence G. McMillan

This market is still akin to a runaway freight train. The momentum is strong and positive, and there are no confirmed sell signals at this time. This has made the market "overbought" in a general sense, but subscribers know that "overbought does not mean sell." Only confirmed sell signals mean "sell."

Our Latest Newsletters Are Off To a Great Start

By Lawrence G. McMillan

Our two latest newsletters, The Daily Put-Writer and Special Situation Alerts, have both performed well since their launch in 2020.

Larry McMillan Stock Market Update Video 4/12/2021

By Lawrence G. McMillan

Join Larry McMillan as he discusses the current state of the stock market on Monday, April 12th, 2021.

Weekly Stock Market Commentary 4/9/2021

By Lawrence G. McMillan

The recent pattern of the markets has changed slightly. Yes, $SPX is continuing to make new all-time highs almost daily, but now NASDAQ ($NDX; QQQ) is catching up and the Dow ($DJX; DIA) is slowing down.

The Seasonality Of $VIX - 2021 Update (Preview)

By Lawrence G. McMillan

We occasionally publish the composite chart of $VIX dating back to near its inception. For these purposes, we use the original $VIX – $VXO – since it has the longest price history. That history is shown in the chart on the below. It has generally been the case that $VIX rises early in the year, peaks in the spring, declines into the late summer, and then begins a rapid acceleration in October, before finally tailing off towards the end of the year.

Larry McMillan Stock Market Update Video 4/5/2021

By Lawrence G. McMillan

Join Larry McMillan as he discusses the current state of the stock market on Monday, April 5th, 2021.

Weekly Stock Market Commentary 4/5/2021

By Lawrence G. McMillan

The bulls may have kick-started another new upward leg by the fact that $SPX broke out to a new all-time high and $VIX broke down to a new relative one-year low at the close on Friday, April 1st. This comes amidst improving internals, but skeptics still exist. The first upside target -- if this is truly a new leg to the bull market -- is 4068. Conversely, a close below 3870 would negate the recent upside breakout.

Larry McMillan Stock Market Update Video 3/29/2021

By Lawrence G. McMillan

Join Larry McMillan as he discusses the current state of the stock market on Monday, March 29th, 2021.

Weekly Stock Market Commentary 3/26/2021

By Lawrence G. McMillan

The recent broad description of market action has not changed: it is led by the Dow, dragged down by NASDAQ, and it remains volatile. $SPX is caught in the middle.

Despite some very negative days (especially Tuesday, March 23rd), $SPX has not broken down. It probed below that 3870 level on Thursday, and then all of the markets rebounded. That intraday move on Thursday reached down to 3853, so perhaps we should say that support is roughly 3850 3870.

The Put-Call Ratio (02:10)

By Lawrence G. McMillan

This article was originally published in The Option Strategist Newsletter Volume 2, No. 10 on May 27, 1993. 

We often refer to the put-call ratio in our Sentiment Indicators section. However, judging by questions we have received from subscribers, it might be beneficial to expand on the concept. We will cover the subject both generally and then specifically, in regard to the way we prefer to interpret the ratio. The put-call ratio is simply the number of puts traded, divided by the number of calls traded. It can be computed daily, weekly, or over any other time period. It can be computed for stock options, index options, or futures options.

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