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Free Weekly Stock Market Commentary 4/17/2026

By Lawrence G. McMillan

The major indices are on a roll, with S&P 500 ($SPX; SPY), NASDAQ-100 ($NDX; QQQ) and now Russell 2000 ($RUT; IWM) all making new all-time highs simultaneously. Back in January and February, $SPX made a new all-time high by a few points on several occasions, but it was never able to put together a strong breakout rally as follow-through. Eventually, that was onerous, and the market fell. But now it appears to be adding to the breakout gains, which is a very positive sign.

Free Weekly Stock Market Commentary 4/3/2026

By Lawrence G. McMillan

Volatility continues to be elevated both in terms of realized and implied. $SPX dropped sharply early in the week as various support levels gave way on the $SPX chart. Of primary concern was the violation of the 6475-6550 support area. Eventually, $SPX bottomed on Tuesday, with a low near 6330 which was also a minor low last August. There should also be support near 6200 (the lows of last July).

Free Weekly Stock Market Commentary 3/27/2026

By Lawrence G. McMillan

The major averages continue to decline, and they are in a seriously bearish mode. Moreover, the pattern of lower highs and lower lows persists, so there is a distinct downtrend line that can be drawn (see Figure 1, purple line).

Free Weekly Stock Market Commentary 3/20/2026

By Lawrence G. McMillan

The downtrend on the $SPX chart is obvious, even to the casual observer. Not only are there now lower highs and lower lows, but the short-term moving averages as well as the "modified Bollinger Bands" are all sloping downwards.

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