This article was originally published in The Option Strategist Newsletter Volume 18, No. 13 on July 10, 2009.
Everyone enjoys a good speculation now and then – even the most confirmed hedged trader. However, there are a lot of ways to handle a speculative position once it’s in place. In this article, the main focus is going to be on when and where to take profits – as opposed to cutting losses. We’re going to look at several partial profit strategies in an attempt to show what one is really doing to his position in the name of taking profits.
This article was originally published in The Option Strategist Newsletter Volume 6, No. 3 on February 6, 1997.
At the Futures South Conference last month, there was a lot of talk about delta neutral strategies. We're going to take a look at what these strategies are, and why they're not as profitable and easy to operate as some advisors would have you believe. I have mentioned in the past that I have some trepidation that too many traders are embarking on delta neutral strategies without understanding that — like any other strategy — they involve work to operate profitably.
The swift rally that took place over the last week has left the indicators in a mixed state, with some of the longer-term indicators still in a bearish mode after the major overbought conditions that existed in late January. On the other hand, short-term indicators gave some oversold buy signals, and those have certainly carried the day this week.
This article was originally published in The Option Strategist Newsletter Volume 9, No. 16 on August 24, 2000.
It is somewhat common knowledge amongst option traders that the CBOE’s Volatility Index ($VIX) can be used as a predictor of forthcoming market movements. In particular, when volatility is trending to extremely low levels – as it is doing now – it generally means that the market is about to explode. In this article, we’ll put some “hard numbers” to that theory and we’ll also look at alternate measures of volatility (QQQ and the $OEX stocks themselves) to see what they have to say.
The huge rally in stocks that began on October 4th, 2019, is in jeopardy. A couple of large down days have broken the steepness of the uptrend, but not the uptrend itself.
So, the $SPX chart is weakening, but hasn't completely capitulated to the bearish case yet. There is resistance at 3340 (the all-time highs) and there is support, as noted, at 3210. So if it continues to bounce around in that range, it would just be "re-generating," but a breakout in either direction should be significant.
$SPX has finally broken down somewhat and sell signals have arisen in many areas. This has been enough for us to declare our “core” position as bearish, but the bulls still have a chance to rescue things. To the media, the reason for the selling is mainly the coronavirus, or perhaps earnings, or maybe Boeing, but in reality the market was so overbought that any reason for selling was going to cause some decline.