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This week, $SPX overcame the previous resistance at 3155 and appeared ready to take off. But then it faltered again, at roughly the 3185 level. Hence it is still in a trading that extends from 2920 to 3230. A decisive breakout of that range in one direction or the other will likely signal the next large directional move.
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The S&P 500 Index ($SPX) has been bouncing back and forth in a trading range for several weeks now. So, for now, $SPX is trading between 2965 and 3155. A wider trading range could probably be justified as well: 2920 on the downside and 3184 on the upside. 2920 was the top of the April-May trading range, and 3184 would close the gap on the island reversal. Either would be significant for a potential breakout, but until that occurs, we can expect continued volatile price action within the current range.
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Join Larry McMillan as he discusses the current state of the stock market.
So we have a sort of standoff developing. It would have a bullish resolution if $SPX could rally to 3184 and close the gap on the island reversal. However, a further break below that support at 2965 would be to the bears' advantage. So, in the short- term we are waiting for a breakout to occur.
The equity-only put-call ratios remain overbought. The standard ratio continues to trade at or near 16-year lows, as both ratios remain on buy signals in overbought territory.
A week ago, stocks were on their heels after one of the worst down days on record on June 11th. Prices rallied within a couple of days, but the negativity of that day still hangs over this market. If $SPX were to fall below 2920, that would be bearish. But as it stands, the $SPX chart remains bullish as long as the Index holds above 2920.
Equity-only put-call ratios continue to fall, thus remaining on buy signals. That will continue to be the case until they visibly roll over and begin to rise.
