Whether you think it's MOMO (momentum) or FOMO (Fear Of Missing Out), or whatever, it doesn't really matter. This market is a perfect example of why "overbought does not mean sell." Eventually, sell signals will appear, but so far, we have had no confirmed sell signals.
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Volatility continues to be elevated both in terms of realized and implied. $SPX dropped sharply early in the week as various support levels gave way on the $SPX chart. Of primary concern was the violation of the 6475-6550 support area. Eventually, $SPX bottomed on Tuesday, with a low near 6330 which was also a minor low last August. There should also be support near 6200 (the lows of last July).
Join Larry McMillan as he discusses the current state of the stock market on March 30, 2026.
The major averages continue to decline, and they are in a seriously bearish mode. Moreover, the pattern of lower highs and lower lows persists, so there is a distinct downtrend line that can be drawn (see Figure 1, purple line).
