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Misunderstandings About the $VIX Futures Term Structure

By Lawrence G. McMillan

This article was originally featured in the 4/1/16 edition of The Option Strategist Newsletter.

It is worth noting that there has been a lot of discussion in the media about how cheap $VIX is, and these articles then have a bearish connotation for stocks.  Two prominent articles appeared in the Striking Price column in Barron’s and on Zerohedge.com.  The Zerohedge article covered a lot of interesting things about volatility futures and ETFs, but both of these articles mistakenly asserted that an upward-sloping term structure in the $VIX futures is bearish.  I have seen the same opinion expressed many times on CNBC by traders who should know better, although I haven’t seen it there this week.