McMillan Analysis Corp. president Lawrence G. McMillan will be participating in Investor Inspiration's Investor Masterminds seminar on August 4th, 2016. Larry's presentation will be on The Current State of Option-Oriented Indicators and begins at 1:45 pm Eastern Time.
Without a doubt, the hardest thing to do in the stock market is to spot a major market top before it happens. Bottoms are much easier to discern. One reason for this is that bottoms tend to be “V” or “W” affairs, with sharp downward spikes and sharp recoveries, but tops are “rolling” things that can take what seems like forever to complete.
The broad stock market, as measured by $SPX, is locked in a very tight range -- and has been since new all-time highs were reached on July 14th. Overall, though, $SPX remains in a strong uptrend, with support at 2160.
Equity-only put-call ratios remain on buy signals, as they continue to move lower on their charts. They are now reaching the lows of 2015.
Early this year, we noted that some longer-term indicators had given bullish signals. One was when $SPX advanced by more than 1% for three consecutive days. That occurred in early March. Another bullish sign was when $SPX remained above its 20-day moving average for at least 30 days. That occurred during March as well. In both of those cases, the short-term gains were “meh,” but the longer-term ramifications (one year out, say) were quite positive.
Stocks continue to plow ahead to new all-time highs on the Standard & Poors 500 Index ($SPX). This has created some overbought conditions, but as of this time, there are no sell signals in place.
$SPX has support at the old breakout level of 2120-2135, so any correction should hold at that level. On the upside, we have targets of 2198 and 2226.
All indicators were in synch this week, as $SPX finally broke out to new all-time highs. The breakout started with a "90% up day" last Friday, which put the Index on the brink of new all- time highs, and it carried through with $SPX higher each day so far this week. We have targets extending as high as 2205 at this time.
Equity-only put-call ratios finally got with the bullish program, and both have not only rolled over to buy signals, but both have made new relative lows for this year.
The recording of Larry McMillan and Ken Calhoun's recent "Option Indicators & Breakouts" webinar is now available. In the video, Mr. McMillan discusses the current state of option-oriented indicators and delves into the trading systems behind the recent successful buy signals. Check out the video below or click here.
